Belgium must scale renewables even under high nuclear scenario, Aurora finds
A 33% demand increase by 2040 means renewables are not optional, regardless of Belgium's nuclear build-out path.
By Matthias Blank · drafted with the Vantage newsroom system, approved before publication

Belgium faces a 33% rise in electricity demand by 2040, per Aurora Energy Research. Aurora's analysis concludes that renewables must be maximised regardless of how much nuclear capacity Belgium ultimately retains or builds. Cost control is cited alongside volume as a reason: nuclear alone does not deliver the economics needed.
The result challenges a common framing in Belgian energy policy, where extended nuclear operation is sometimes presented as an alternative to aggressive renewables buildout. Aurora's modelling treats the two as complements, not substitutes. The Belgian zone must pursue both tracks in parallel to meet 2040 demand at acceptable system cost.
The report sits alongside separate Aurora analysis questioning the German Energiewende's trajectory, suggesting the firm sees structural policy recalibration as a live issue across multiple European zones.
Source: Aurora Energy Research
Photo by Angel Bena on Pexels.
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